Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.046519 0.050619 0.054774 0.059292 0.064060 0.068935 0.074290
2025-06-22 0.040072 0.046071 0.052372 0.059456 0.067173 0.075297 0.084473
2025-06-29 0.034888 0.042192 0.050116 0.059289 0.069554 0.080630 0.093424
2025-07-06 0.031900 0.040339 0.049755 0.060929 0.073717 0.087789 0.104340
2025-07-13 0.028176 0.037262 0.047685 0.060353 0.075161 0.091759 0.111604
2025-07-20 0.025442 0.035073 0.046408 0.060482 0.077242 0.096329 0.119471
2025-07-27 0.023516 0.033673 0.045903 0.061380 0.080111 0.101735 0.128265
2025-08-03 0.022126 0.032803 0.045930 0.062825 0.083565 0.107790 0.137814
2025-08-10 0.019292 0.029867 0.043206 0.060726 0.082599 0.108503 0.140987
2025-08-17 0.017465 0.028109 0.041844 0.060204 0.083459 0.111323 0.146610
2025-08-24 0.015816 0.026464 0.040516 0.059627 0.084168 0.113899 0.151899
2025-08-31 0.015225 0.026239 0.041020 0.061379 0.087787 0.120037 0.161532
2025-09-07 0.014393 0.025641 0.041021 0.062503 0.090674 0.125373 0.170335
2025-09-14 0.013469 0.024845 0.040706 0.063177 0.092975 0.129995 0.178304
2025-09-21 0.012429 0.023801 0.039987 0.063264 0.094485 0.133617 0.185050
2025-09-28 0.012030 0.023702 0.040578 0.065117 0.098309 0.140183 0.195505
2025-10-05 0.010949 0.022461 0.039470 0.064584 0.098948 0.142679 0.200861
2025-10-12 0.010161 0.021625 0.038900 0.064756 0.100494 0.146321 0.207662
2025-10-19 0.009649 0.021202 0.038908 0.065716 0.103086 0.151309 0.216181
2025-10-26 0.009319 0.021059 0.039319 0.067241 0.106445 0.157309 0.226023
2025-11-02 0.008105 0.019301 0.037192 0.065046 0.104666 0.156562 0.227199
2025-11-09 0.007377 0.018336 0.036236 0.064502 0.105117 0.158712 0.232084
2025-11-16 0.006696 0.017397 0.035269 0.063897 0.105450 0.160684 0.236728